Estofex sieht ein zeitproblem für heute abend im süden grr
Quelle: estofex.orig
... N-Italy, NE-Croatia and S-Hungary ...
Eastward moving mid-level trough overspreads leisurely eastward moving and wavy surface cold front. Along and ahead of this boundary, 6-7 g/kg mixed-layer mixing ratios spread north and beneath cooling mid-levels. A belt of 300 - 600 J/kg MLCAPE is forecast to evolve in those areas althoug highly variable BL moisture distribution also results in a patchy CAPE field. The highest values probably will be found over N-Italy and NE Coratia, where initiating storms during the afternoon hours will pose a large hail and strong wind gust risk. Main problem for widespread CI is the trapped cold front along the Alps, which results in cloudy skies and lots of precipiation, also limiting heating during the day. Thunderstorms rapidly decay after sunset or transform into a messy cluster of showers/stratiform rain, locally heavy over S-Austria/N-Slovenia.
