Temp: 18,5°C

Gerade eben ging ein Gewitter nieder mit heftigen Niederschlag!

Heutiges Estofex Forecast


Quelle: estofex.org

Zitat

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A level 2 was issued for the E Alpine region mainly for excessive convective precipitation, large hail and severe wind gusts.

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Zitat

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...E Austria, Hungary, S Czech / SW Slovak Rep., SW Romania, N Serbia...

Hot and moist air is advected into the region of interest by a low pressure system centered over the N Adriatic. Instability will increase during the day and MLCAPEs in order of 1 kJ/kg and more should become available in most parts of SE Europe, combined with some 10 - 15 m/s of 0-6 km bulk shear in the eastern part of the LVL2 area. Strong LL moisture advection leads to high values of effective PWAT (locally 30 - 50 mm) in an environment with weak winds at the lower levels. It is likely that most of the multicell storms in this area will move very slowly or tend to propagate upstream, which increases the chance of excessive precipitation and flash floods. Apart from the heavy rainfall risk, some storms may produce large hail and severe wind gusts as well. As the LL flow is very weak in most places and the cloud base is only a few hundred meters AGL, an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out either.

In the western parts of the LVL2 area, the excessive precipitation threat is pronounced whereas large hail and severe wind gusts will likely dominate in the eastern parts of the LVL2 area. It is uncertain whether the clusters / MCSs will continue through the night hours or tend to decay in the evening hours.

...SE Germany, Czech and Slovak Rep., Austria, N Italy, W Romania and Balkans...

The region which surrounds the LVL2 will also get favorable conditions for multicellular storms which may produce large hail and severe wind gusts. Due to less LL moisture advection, the chance for excessive precipitation in that region is lower than in the LVL2 area.

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