Strong QG lift is expected ahead of the European cut-off low that will spread into the northern Adriatic late in the period. Given the rather most and warm boundary-layer ahead of the cold front, CAPE is forecast and thunderstorms will likely form especially in the evening and night hours. As vertical wind shear will be strong, storm will quickly organize and supercells and multicells capable of producing large hail and severe wind gusts are forecast. Additionally, excessive precipitation is expected especially in the eastern portions of the area. Near the Adriatic Sea, tornadoes may also occur given the strong low-level vertical wind shear.
Zitat von Michael im Beitrag #6Northern Adriatic and surroundings
Strong QG lift is expected ahead of the European cut-off low that will spread into the northern Adriatic late in the period. Given the rather most and warm boundary-layer ahead of the cold front, CAPE is forecast and thunderstorms will likely form especially in the evening and night hours. As vertical wind shear will be strong, storm will quickly organize and supercells and multicells capable of producing large hail and severe wind gusts are forecast. Additionally, excessive precipitation is expected especially in the eastern portions of the area. Near the Adriatic Sea, tornadoes may also occur given the strong low-level vertical wind shear.
ZitatA strong upper trough is moving south across west-central Europe while transforming into an upper low. A lee low forms over N Italy.
A MDT risk has been issued for parts of northern Adriatic sea, W Slovenia and NE Italy with threat for heavy convective rain, strong winds and some tornado threat.
A MDT risk has been issued for parts of Ionian sea into coastal areas of W Greece and Albania with threat for heavy convective rain, strong winds, tornadoes and some hail threat.
A SLGT risk has been issued for the rest of N Italy with threat for heavy rain and strong winds.
A SLGT risk has been isssued for parts of southern Italy towards northern Tunisia with threat for heavy rain, large hail, strong winds and some tornado threat.
A SLGT risk has been issued for parts of North Sea towards coastal areas of Belgium and Netherlands with threat for strong wind and marginal hail.
Mit besten & lieben Grüßen Obmann Hans-Jürgen Pross
